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(A) macroeconomic factorsFrom the internal structure of the market, the phenomenon of plate differentiation is more prominent. The weighting sectors such as finance in early trading once drove the index to open higher, but the follow-up of other sectors was weak. On the one hand, science and technology growth sectors, such as artificial intelligence and semiconductors, which had a large increase in the previous period, are facing profit-taking pressure. With the recent gradual increase in the valuation of related sectors, some investors choose to lock in profits, and funds flow out of these high-valuation sectors, which has a certain impact on the overall popularity of the market. On the other hand, the traditional cyclical sectors, such as steel and coal, are relatively depressed due to multiple factors such as overcapacity, environmental protection policies and fluctuation of downstream demand, and failed to form effective support after the index opened higher, resulting in the lack of core driving force for sustained growth in the market, and finally moved towards a low trend.

On December 10, 2024, the A-share market showed a remarkable feature of high opening and low going. At the opening of the morning session, affected by various factors, the three major indexes all opened sharply higher, which once brought more optimistic expectations to market participants. However, in the following trading hours, the market momentum could not be sustained, and the index gradually fluctuated downwards, and finally closed at a relatively low level. After the Shanghai Composite Index opened higher, the upward trend was blocked and the upper shadow line was longer, indicating that the upper pressure was obvious. The Shenzhen Stock Exchange Index and the Growth Enterprise Market Index also experienced the process of falling back after opening higher, and the volume of transactions was enlarged to a certain extent in the process of falling, reflecting that the long and short differences in the market were intensified in the trading process.At the same time, changes in news at home and abroad will also have an important impact on A shares. Internationally, the results of monetary policy meetings in major economies and the latest progress in international trade negotiations may trigger global market fluctuations, which will then be transmitted to the A-share market. For example, if the Fed releases a dove signal, it will help global funds to return to emerging markets, including the A-share market, and provide external assistance for the index to go up. In China, industry-level policy news, such as the adjustment of centralized purchasing policy in pharmaceutical industry and the continuation or optimization of subsidy policy in new energy automobile industry, will directly affect the trend of related industry sectors, and then have a chain reaction to the pattern of the whole A-share market.Tomorrow's A-share market will also be significantly affected by macro policies and news. From a policy perspective, the recent fine-tuning trend of monetary policy and fiscal policy has attracted much attention. If the central bank releases further loose signals in the open market operation or monetary policy report, such as the expected increase in RRR cut and interest rate cut, it is expected to inject liquidity into the market, enhance market confidence, and thus promote the rebound of the index. In terms of fiscal policy, if specific policies and measures such as increasing investment in infrastructure construction and supporting the development of emerging industries are introduced, the relevant beneficiary sectors will hopefully drive the market sentiment to rebound.

On the whole, on December 10th, 2024, the three indexes of A shares opened higher and went lower, which reflected the complexity and uncertainty of the current market. Tomorrow's A-share market will depend on the comprehensive effects of technical aspects, macro policies and news, plate rotation and capital flow. Investors should pay close attention to the changes of the above factors and make investment decisions prudently to cope with market fluctuations and changes.Trend analysis of A shares on December 10, 2024 and market outlook for tomorrow.(C) plate rotation and capital flow analysis